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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 10:10:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 10:10:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:11:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,380.21
Unexplained QUAI: 35,755.42
Explained QI: 239.03
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
5.9x above local average
68x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
5
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
47,135.63 QUAI
239.03 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 47136 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net sender
Unknown type
11,113.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,113.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
239.03 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
239.03 QI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
192.04 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

11,113.79 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

5 transactions
192.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0015004f6e6ef1064c05565557419dafc4e912508576468ccd69a5f9dee0b998
43.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0054000ee86be9121522d797ecbd0adeaba3e0722d9109a61a3699a8c1e13c21
30.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004e0023244568603fb40c4f09849dc9d6154522fb391f45db764034acd146c2
11,113.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006f007f3f40f8b8160755d2c19a464cc830277daa075f266fc1681332bf2914
Open txWallet profile
239.03 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:11 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002a005a2fea6e327258dc1d10ff11a852b287243d09a0f8fcee779b0ef0a6cc
Open txWallet profile