Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:10:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:11:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
24% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,380.21
Unexplained QUAI: 35,755.42
Explained QI: 239.03
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
5.9x above local average
68x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
5
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
47,135.63 QUAI
239.03 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 47136 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net sender
Unknown type
11,113.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,113.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
239.03 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
239.03 QI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
192.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
10 tx
693.27 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:09:29 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
47,135.63 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:10:41 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
269.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:08:17 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
214.32 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:11:53 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
88.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:07:04 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
260.38 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:13:05 A.M.
-4 min
52 tx
14,911.86 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:05:52 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:14:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,113.79 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
192.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0015004f6e6ef1064c05565557419dafc4e912508576468ccd69a5f9dee0b998
43.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0054000ee86be9121522d797ecbd0adeaba3e0722d9109a61a3699a8c1e13c21
30.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004e0023244568603fb40c4f09849dc9d6154522fb391f45db764034acd146c2
11,113.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:25 A.M.
From: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006f007f3f40f8b8160755d2c19a464cc830277daa075f266fc1681332bf2914
239.03 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:10:11 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002a005a2fea6e327258dc1d10ff11a852b287243d09a0f8fcee779b0ef0a6cc
