Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:08:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 638.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 688.06
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
3.1x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
269.79 QUAI
688.06 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 270 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
638.81 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
Net sender
Unknown type
111.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
110.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net sender
Unknown type
107.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
Net sender
Unknown type
104.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 638.81 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
269.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:08:17 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
88.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:07:04 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
693.27 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:09:29 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
14,911.86 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:05:52 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
5,410.2 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:04:40 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate7 tx
47,135.63 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:10:41 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
214.32 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:11:53 A.M.
-5 min
51 tx
705.96 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:03:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
111.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
111.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d0048f801929031885255f97b84f673bdb9d1733962f4ca764d4178fe61e5
110.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b006c4053d69e960d5b3fa75653557847298a50ce8a2f3d06f5367652f5de
104.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b00481281cb4b94924b19ba1f8b5c12248b51e60aebb9a7a4d056e6230406
102.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f0021166ab1c025ccf07c33fb8a54783a2f04838f8cd91de334f38d2ca3db
107.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028000368dd278d66d50c438b205ffc95c6883e44203a77ba419f4f196e1e2b
102.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:08:44 A.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0052004f94a7bb8f7322a012f28ba124074edf4d52b61b01260b5a01d822e952
