Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 9:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 9:40:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 9:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,261.84
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 444.59
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
444.59 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 9:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net sender
Unknown type
32,998.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
32,998.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
444.59 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
444.59 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
116.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 444.59 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
219.01 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:39:34 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:40:45 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
202.01 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:38:21 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
33,261.84 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:41:57 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
183.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:37:10 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:43:08 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
269.94 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:35:58 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:44:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
32,998.54 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:40:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
116.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:40:49 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0010007f9c784727aa96a9c0ec939ad236cc3d1e7b2067d6daa7239b8b1aca4e
63.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:40:49 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0025003f85378ee9db372ee6378eae65a46682f73ed6b3e04a64f19a5e5c8f6c
83.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:40:49 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x007b0022edfa09cb9fc1eb29706b18b31613e05889390b6a05b7b272b3761854
32,998.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:40:49 A.M.
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x002800043ea311846fe389d433603ecd279ebc246e5335f4276198e7290633b0
222.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:40:06 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0037007c033764354a85e97ab18ab14202b97ee73f22fa37a0ad2a7115aa970d
222.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:40:06 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006d00317bf397c7373c3c0273d6349fe502da32790940f64c90216130a9bcab