Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 9:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 9:34:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 9:35:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
99% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,000
Unexplained QUAI: 300
Explained QI: 706.51
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
33,300 QUAI
706.51 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5 • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 33300 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5 • 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 9:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5
Net sender
Unknown type
33,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net receiver
Unknown type
33,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
706.52 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
706.52 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 706.51 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
20,850.55 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:33:34 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
33,300 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:34:46 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:32:23 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
269.94 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:35:58 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:31:11 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
183.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:37:10 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
32,947.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:30:00 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
202.01 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:38:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
33,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:34:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
235.17 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:34:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006e002c7a5606525b462b7f47dbb6c67e9dc1713e136edebea38615387a3254
235.07 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:34:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0076001d5b55e7a9a7e7314c1bff7f080094ef229b343254c62d774e02ee8524
33,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:34:30 A.M.
From: 0x003779ec109b24CECD1a4538de62543D6Bb940B5
To: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Tx: 0x0028005b776f956952c650dcd48f2adddcdfb213f43090f419decd99e3da24cf
236.26 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:34:18 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00630047e0d65a93c7e4b621b130e97b3c9b6e03760bf2b9a1205c86504aa6a7