Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 9:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 9:32:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 9:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,772.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 243.15
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
0 QUAI
243.15 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 9:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
546.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907
Net sender
Unknown type
516.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
227.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.42 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:32:23 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:31:11 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
32,947.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:30:00 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
20,850.55 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:33:34 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:28:48 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
33,300 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:34:46 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
6 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:27:37 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
269.94 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:35:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.42 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,998.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:50 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f00498fba05cb0348cc992fb59d7ae85601b9c60befd38ddcb3a67e96d4cb
227.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:31 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00250048e2855f2aa0b7456b0d44bc7e5a5630bd86a7c95521205b38b23c9c73
516.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:31 A.M.
From: 0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0050003a7f1643cdf1deda8b10c2049bb8f63579b7ebfe8ec4b51b151ca2c548
29.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:31 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004f005e2db29f9a465f4fb6fec302d7da7430f474d998548020a84dec83009f