Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 9:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 9:20:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 9:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,747.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 269.37
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
269.91 QUAI
269.37 QI
Avg confidence
65.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 270 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3 -> 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 9:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,295.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00628C2Cbf0754262132a4e33Cdd8f4F91767404
Net sender
Unknown type
296.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
291.28 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
269.37 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3 → 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
2 repeated flows • 0 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,295.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
269.91 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:20:24 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate8 tx
34,130.85 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:19:12 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
660.68 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:18:00 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
20,541.78 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:21:36 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
209.62 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:16:49 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
291.98 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:22:47 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:15:37 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:24:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.31 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
296.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:42 A.M.
From: 0x00628C2Cbf0754262132a4e33Cdd8f4F91767404
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079000948d4d11dd60f98da975f53509d990dbf7e2c5646cb053a78cd14a534
182.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:29 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005d00755f09fbf1f195620dee9cc181c813360d5b3ff4734f84c7c47a9c6d9e
0 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:29 A.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x0060002e74562bf7ba49b8abbc26648e19576c7cbda7fec8080efccdfb8068a5
19,998.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:29 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a0003f058968759e8794720fc07081c3f8ea5d7a96f39b53233fed9d2d93c
269.37 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:06 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0066007b35fdd218ab4808c035062073e288cd5b201c808d8c5d8bff9a3cad5f
133.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:06 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000700090507ca10d3e448d9712be0caa7dda7345cdc5ba00a02ae6259804351
0 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:06 A.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x0071005ef6fd5569a80d40087bd622dbf3f2be4dc7124e9b61ac92198bef289c
69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002d00744930456b6c99a87190b0f4aa5c53a82728aabf45740a1e52d0696907
39.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000b007bef3f902ad3d0fb584be95c22223f729763613716ebe14738adb49d41
28.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007400164b56f762f3937aac6e60da115062e756d04089bc42d53d299b56856d