Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:51:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,069.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 431.43
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
66.8 QUAI
431.43 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 67 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3 -> 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
431.43 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
431.43 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
66.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3 → 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
4 repeated flows • 4 QUAI
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 431.43 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
5 tx
1,026.65 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:50:25 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
66.8 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:51:37 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
29.31 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:49:13 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate12 tx
20,254.63 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:52:49 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
2,683.98 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:48:01 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:54:02 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:46:50 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0.25 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:55:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.13 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
215.71 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00670006ef34355c4aa3622ea6a609b33ca32d08576f809f3f0b0dbc3b30d6a0
215.71 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00300030535b8408d872ea9d233b771aa26592f0ce64fd338e1121f2427eb6b2
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:50 A.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x007f0045eb59b5a3ebc5be422d9bd0555b1a470d641bef857841553c4aefa5cc
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:50 A.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x0056001ed27dfe401308439dc3b4af1f5d80d3587575bd21bbafb677f1a323ac
19,999.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:50 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x007f003a471182249bca3138baaa0cbec610feb57124fe41f19260c7e9f1f167
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:41 A.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x006d0036425bca75a4fdbc531fd7a4d7bccb9190a19426ace0055c44b394cb3f
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:41 A.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x005000455b74b58d4d3c6a6aafe438d2abf19011170597855e0317f405fe7b18
66.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:06 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003f0005a92fdda2454f302a967a735b9cd44a8e918ab1c8d2a55234e7e4a50d