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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 8:42:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 8:42:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:43:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

60% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 134.21

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 234.42

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume

Relative context

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

0 QUAI

234.42 QI

Avg confidence

72.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 0 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:42:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (40% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

234.42 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

234.42 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A

Net receiver

Unknown type

134.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD

Net sender

Unknown type

83.44 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051

Net sender

Unknown type

50.77 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 5. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.