Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:32:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,202.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 249.34
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
202.06 QUAI
249.34 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 202 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,941.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
Net sender
Unknown type
1,179.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a97920CB0486Cd5a1CE22688f843deF621630
Net sender
Unknown type
762.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
249.34 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
249.34 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,941.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
202.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:32:27 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
823.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:31:15 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:30:01 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
7,212.35 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:33:39 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
321.07 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:28:50 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,180 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:34:51 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
632.05 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:27:38 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
10,090 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:36:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,179.23 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:32:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
249.34 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:32:37 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002c000a11e7c6f7259cd6d137da2f4e5b3f867e227d2c2a6870ad12cc35be54
181.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:32:37 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00360043836422c3dadacd6fc368ad1abd9e80f03a02764739c62237e9538a12
1,179.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:32:37 A.M.
From: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007800091134970a3804e76efc9cc99dd22b5b4d030e9ac835512e58c9ed2bff
762.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:32:37 A.M.
From: 0x004a97920CB0486Cd5a1CE22688f843deF621630
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000300267f2475eb79955c4f05911ee6930cb42d848f5d0fc9243933ff6ecfd9
69.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:32:37 A.M.
From: 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0039000bd15a05f4885e1469cdf2ef848ee76dc2161dce1ae8a1917faed1eab9
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:32:37 A.M.
From: 0x005C9DF24Ce2f14e0B308Eebd40b3e79C4AF6C9e
To: 0x00291896E3e37D0567e47DD0103f9ca3625EFA0F
Tx: 0x002f0063f7334881b5cdda7d48a09c2119c4d6fd98e233b14819c408dd20132a