Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:30:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:31:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 823.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 711.12
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
711.12 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004a97920CB0486Cd5a1CE22688f843deF621630.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004a97920CB0486Cd5a1CE22688f843deF621630.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
773.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a97920CB0486Cd5a1CE22688f843deF621630
Net receiver
Unknown type
773.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
711.13 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
711.13 QI across 3 visible rows
0x005C9DF24Ce2f14e0B308Eebd40b3e79C4AF6C9e
Net sender
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 711.12 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:30:01 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
321.07 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:28:50 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
823.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:31:15 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
632.05 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:27:38 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
202.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:32:27 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,557.33 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:26:26 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate10 tx
7,212.35 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:33:39 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:25:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
773.26 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:30:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004a97920CB0486Cd5a1CE22688f843deF621630
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
252.08 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:30:57 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002900102c0169360c7efe225dd9d4e86a1bb7148536c179f78046f229a8b8df
773.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:30:38 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x004a97920CB0486Cd5a1CE22688f843deF621630
Tx: 0x00670010f9bcf940e33f65de124d271903ca64738d396dee1a2b9408fbc429a8
229.52 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:30:05 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0067007367f8d054c365829fe67dfecdf0d35aba4d7b02817462be029812716c
229.52 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:30:05 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002c0078c75c7881d812c32c3cba83d5f8cf3e8859171a2e372cdbaca927cb03
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:30:00 A.M.
From: 0x005C9DF24Ce2f14e0B308Eebd40b3e79C4AF6C9e
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x005f000ea518f05deda633266bf288935417c71e413312ba9e5462c6403d7033
