Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:15:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 78,828.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 691.87
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
7.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
78,828.2 QUAI
691.87 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 78828 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
49,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
49,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
7,333.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 691.87 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 49,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:14:25 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
78,828.2 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:15:36 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
1,212.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:13:13 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
441.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:16:48 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
325.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:12:02 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
1,000 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:18:00 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,770 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:10:50 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:19:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
49,996 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:11 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
244.44 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:46 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0041006afa44483e35adddb9c4f37b8525699cd5b781318387d0c6ed7da35438
223.71 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:22 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e006bd42bd9a1ca9ca4db8346e91425346b1f8d08c8911c3b825f96bebe3c
223.71 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:22 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006c0026a0ace8c1e85959b2435968a2d3b583ea49806ac16e6b6c015841bb41
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:22 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002b002b21464194e8c2b7fab9a29d426630325547b923fb265049c350a298a2
1,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:11 A.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E
Tx: 0x002300745419ed6760fb76b69dd7f0bcb053159f58fcb64793ad980244cc8b09
49,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:11 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x004d002dfdf8d48eb8d7865c56b36b2721c0024540783f5828b7673f765356b7
7,333.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:11 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002654798C651ED22D17bAc6Ab7701fA94126d3F
Tx: 0x003c0027ab5b10d58e71be61625fae07162550554c954f51dacd403bbfe8db14
19,999.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:15:11 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x000400116dd27aad75e69f552ac7f5760fc20d0c22c2ecd385881fae9974beda