Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 7:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 7:43:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 7:44:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
67% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,386.36
Unexplained QUAI: 1,188.64
Explained QI: 446.34
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
3,575 QUAI
446.34 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3575 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 7:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net sender
Unknown type
2,240.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,240.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
446.35 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
446.35 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
74.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 446.34 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
3,575 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:43:13 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
3,190.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:42:01 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,386.36 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:44:25 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
20,192.34 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:40:49 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:39:38 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:45:37 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
107.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:46:48 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
2,613.88 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:38:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,240.75 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:43:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
223.17 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:43:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00120044d4ffa9ca952f6aab7f0f03cbe43280dd34ac477e763a644494bd2039
223.17 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:43:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0045001af5b6cb72d0a65f4d37ef2b38c3dc4579fe4b21b80695a4831f0f001f
74.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:43:45 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0064007752f75e7c361e1c22ede7588c6e24d54cc86712706e294ef69ffac6db
70.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:43:45 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003100328332e0ececd090816007ecf49a89c830d61bb605f6103b36c0b0514b
2,240.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:43:45 A.M.
From: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0072000a24ab505b4de22d8002b0360f6b30482177304e4f9abac360ce31051c