Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 7:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 7:39:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 7:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,192.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 242.65
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
242.65 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 7:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
242.65 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
242.65 QI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
172.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.37 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
10 tx
2,613.88 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:38:26 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:39:38 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:37:14 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
20,192.34 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:40:49 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
20,062.88 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:36:02 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
3,190.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:42:01 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
35.37 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:34:51 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
3,575 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:43:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.37 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:39:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
172.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:39:37 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0065001af8c5f80eaebaede83610c9b3f89ead27668d75a789a0921867382eca
21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:39:37 A.M.
From: 0x003A472c57aA1e4D063d992ea41F17cBCC99C02B
To: 0x001AFe46A9EC92674FA347F4BDE86Ec7D63f8935
Tx: 0x0006001db84e20952501030e37296003c470c4a26fa8faddd1207c356e2534a9
19,998.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:39:37 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049005bdb85013fc1bbf7e87c057c81a5477a7dec39b8614581e50c73fbfe8d
242.65 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:39:16 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002000503010ea839e22ea8edc037ab7fefe223cdb5b6095b846468426a6c7af