Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:45:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 168.93
Unexplained QUAI: 2,401.36
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
2,570.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2570 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
127.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
127.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
41.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
41.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
5,834.66 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:44:34 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,570.29 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:45:46 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
45,338.49 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:43:22 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:46:58 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
20,063.01 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:42:10 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
20,274.24 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:48:10 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
20,100.91 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:40:58 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
50,671.37 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:49:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
127.08 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:45:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
127.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:45:31 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x001a005859700325ca4fa4daf375b9ef70c15125b0d1422d7d202ebda1d9dfba
41.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:45:31 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00590007eb52da2045dd6467b0130990b7531fb316bc3782354651bf6cf0a5ae