Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:38:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,277.48
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
277.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 278 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,188.72 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
Net sender
Unknown type
7,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
7,403.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0009E45a232b171d89bd3228Cc215C95C98563fa
Net sender
Unknown type
2,681.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23
Net sender
Unknown type
2,104.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,188.72 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate8 tx
43,899.45 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:37:22 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
277.88 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:38:35 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:36:11 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
20,188.72 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:39:46 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
385.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:34:59 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
20,100.91 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:40:58 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
2,735.96 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:33:46 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
20,063.01 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:42:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,999.18 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:38:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
7,403.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:38:50 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d005c82492a0da140b8bdcf2a268b375ce85be25518a97e0dfc3e7a4feaa0
2,681.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:38:50 A.M.
From: 0x0009E45a232b171d89bd3228Cc215C95C98563fa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0033007a5080c09c3fd6e4fe67008c9c19c3b8f19cf909877e4f929f9301cd48
2,104.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:38:50 A.M.
From: 0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007500713c6db6caea5c2944e273738eda28d425d0f7718abd13b609320afb9e
7,999.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:38:50 A.M.
From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000400470f7a121e654d51ed03d6f9c6c6432e0e49a6b15cfd4454eb9334c258
88.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x002f0034a17c99d87d935d9725366490e4c5beaa93ef87726de089e1409dcbc2