Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:27:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 508.98
Unexplained QUAI: 6,756.82
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
4
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
7,265.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 7266 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
230.19 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
227.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
227.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
197.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
51.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
273.69 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:26:36 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
7,265.8 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:27:48 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate15 tx
10,845.33 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:25:25 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
353.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:29:01 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:24:13 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:30:12 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,204.44 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:23:01 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,105.04 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:31:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
227.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:27:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
227.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:27:46 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0009003faebb3a4cbea8f73f9b1b71b56c46398bdf0528f2466f4d6cb6165db9
33.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:27:46 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0020004d6a2e7875fddef1545311c5bade0df52da29c755cdb02403dcc48c5f8
197.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:27:46 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001400202c8d229b6e66c09837d030a1f5ddb9ba119ed9453873a843dec98f0d
51.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:27:14 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000782c20ae9bd4Ac49789cC43883E5C3d870f05
Tx: 0x005d0036a7e35a2966353775ff85efa4c03b39508c3eae772d1f9e9d3fd51ba8