Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:12:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 119.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.7x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
32.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
78.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
78.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
32.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
8.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
32.13 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:12:15 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
43.85 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:11:03 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
87.1 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:13:27 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate8 tx
29,289.13 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:09:51 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
188.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:08:39 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
34.95 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:14:38 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:15:50 A.M.
-5 min
15 tx
20,564.49 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:07:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
78.49 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:12:44 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
78.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:12:44 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003f0020852d69898ea3c3060b29be65b0bcac6d8300b529b96c5872ab46389a
8.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:12:44 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0059002bb5fdb454f23940adbb867ac8b0d5c828afb3879310c145e1a85930db
32.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00000005cc891d05f50a969224563ece5ac33a233afa1cbd680fb5e9e0db7ee0