Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:06:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,564.49
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
3.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
20,407.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20407 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
552.11 QUAI across 12 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
140.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
131.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
20,407.04 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:06:15 A.M.
-1 min
55 tx
6,375.64 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:05:04 A.M.
+1 min
15 tx
20,564.49 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:07:28 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
20,374.27 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:03:51 A.M.
-3 min
51 tx
640.29 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:02:39 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
188.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:08:39 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate8 tx
29,289.13 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:09:51 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
43.85 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:11:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.1 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
122.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x006e0034367b591cfaccc364c4d68c02065d8971a5b386f4ada632ce1c79d067
10.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Tx: 0x007e00745a9c7b37c7a3083d4cd329b63d349fe0d56a65a919e2ef9ef9a6a52a
16.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Tx: 0x0007005fc97fed9e59674695a2c9711ab02466efa356e3b720de9a8ebe3b2ff9
3.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x0047007cefa2666be161a7e92f08e87b238e5bb6209fc887726bdb745ed804cc
14.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x002300159a288f589757692e7186dacd9ff027274ea09118e4bec4b8fd9213d9
40.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x004700719b365fdf540f8b21f43a1afed327c12f6a7ca5bffef611b9f8d109c2
4.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x006c005eb05b7b925833d858647e44d4ee1561d1fd309051526b44480b15ef7b
5.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x0046006dfe1097045ba5d39fe6bdcd9531c1e0d48a7a5fcdb5b4c81f7ea970c9
140.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x003300741dfd734acd6ed619f4a6339c38ffa8a78f96d63fbc24f2975db64bdd
37.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x00190025e5b85c007022e5d28e40893eba38d6431d41e953f5c2e8c5251e0097
24.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x00610000ec4d12acc768b8e333d72248bc55c853a71cfc769b2c02e093b493e3
131.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0059003403d01ce0d8af5b24900b564da8f5fed50e0e2c603aced4f2072ccdd1
19,999.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:24 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0028002269e1f047272514ae808c5f63ea8d66c18680070d820cd3fee72676b1
6.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:24 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00580018ddea273430d8ca42d5f0082528506750dc673c05e10e03ab277a6bb5
6.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:06:24 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x004800594b57e1840cc82498721b04d150246ba02a2e24f3d752d14f75beca16
