Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 5:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 5:41:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 5:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 246.02
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 86% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
21x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
246.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 246 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 5:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
210.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
210.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
29.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
29.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
246.02 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:41:13 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:40:01 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
12 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:42:24 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
122.21 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:38:50 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
179.83 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:37:38 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
38.64 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:43:36 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
188.82 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:44:47 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
180.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:36:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
210.97 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:41:08 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
210.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:41:08 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0073005e32d7064399f734c8f48c9cf8d1e3caf01894f13e0ff2d2d3b363d11c
29.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:41:08 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002f002ed0ccced69f10463976f9f3160bde98a531cbcafc21146e2abc9c6504
6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:41:08 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001f0002bdbf0b7e0c6fb3ce6a587371d306d84ae63f71ad9db1015bdb50c5b7