Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 5:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 5:32:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 5:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 108.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
60 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 60 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 5:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
Net sender
Unknown type
60 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
60 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
48.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
127.97 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:31:38 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
60 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:32:49 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
207.58 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:30:26 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
300.89 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:34:03 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
567.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:29:14 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:35:14 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
234.94 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:28:02 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
180.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:36:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
60 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:32:02 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
48.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:32:50 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0003003feed60617321278df2a4a2dc3ca07de8e0c53070e34e52707f59237aa
60 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:32:02 A.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00670020710c64ad35b08719c81483fa422a09d02151ca383636a8f2ff03201b