Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 4:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 4:17:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 4:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 241.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
241.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 241 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 4:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
145.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
145.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
89.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
89.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076D4B2b778eac37cd6E094a0908ebC69B36D18
Net sender
Unknown type
6.06 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
121,631.47 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:16:22 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
241.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:17:34 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
92.33 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:15:10 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:18:45 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
231.58 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:13:53 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:19:56 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
576.62 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:12:42 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
176.35 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:21:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
145.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:17:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
0.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:17:11 A.M.
From: 0x0076D4B2b778eac37cd6E094a0908ebC69B36D18
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0018006de68d2e8f1be80c1716692112be883b050e4a36f555cb50672e1acfdf
89.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:17:11 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00420021474b51ead645db84ab2f0c5533cb7ba902a009c32315de3031d38660
6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:17:07 A.M.
From: 0x0076D4B2b778eac37cd6E094a0908ebC69B36D18
To: 0x002Ad7E12B8D4dFf30DB0D6dda5eea73dFF30b32
Tx: 0x000b0065d807de28b3e66eb13e7b26a66b25ca456c4eb7c3a30e675c03740a95
145.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:17:07 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003e002632dff289ac56f88c1e992d630ecf83e19197fc9431353354bd254a7f