Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 3:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 3:49:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 154.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
4.0x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
154.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 154 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 3:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
98.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
55.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,019.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:48:48 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
38.14 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:47:37 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
307.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
55,128.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:51:12 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
110.78 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:46:26 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
25.26 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:52:23 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
33.82 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:45:14 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:44:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
98.79 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:49:57 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
55.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:49:57 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00790051eb2e25c6feb056ec82d54728c2b2f07c3b9e91c01c411ced591f29a9
98.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:49:57 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0015000d9e28a74788ca16e526826695f10d98bd73a04e9330d31a6f9b6af22f