Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 3:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 3:38:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 3:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 161.41
Unexplained QUAI: 160.43
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
321.83 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 322 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 3:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
161.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
161.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
321.83 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:38:03 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:36:52 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
161.41 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:39:14 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
163,242.48 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:35:40 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
126.87 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:40:26 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
6,822.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:34:28 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
151.77 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:41:38 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
47.4 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:33:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
161.41 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:38:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
161.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:38:03 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00650019e4d2f86a138fca5d72eceeb82d68edaaeb61583f0d8455016b9c17dd
