Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:55:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
27% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,501.44
Unexplained QUAI: 4,022.15
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
3.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
3
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
5,523.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 5524 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,357.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,357.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
144.43 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
83.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
61.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
5,523.59 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:55:02 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate9 tx
15,139.39 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:53:49 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,501.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:56:14 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
4,377.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:52:37 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
48.86 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:57:26 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
2,731.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:51:25 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:58:38 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
1,766.67 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:50:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,357.01 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:55:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
61.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:55:46 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002b00678237c8b14f66dc8544ffea69a4b8b11d367db39057a4f130c7b9a704
83.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:55:44 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0053000b6766a1e398553ffc43dbd78e1cc535157b123adf568d24fdf9b0406b
1,357.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:55:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
Tx: 0x0037004699cb03a20eebfd70cb04805cedf324d566d94bad3ff14a80c4f3f11e