Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:52:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,299.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,377.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4377 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,012.46 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Net sender
Unknown type
4,194.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Net sender
Unknown type
2,753.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Net sender
Unknown type
2,621.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,229.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
7 tx
2,731.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:51:25 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
4,377.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:52:37 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,766.67 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:50:13 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
15,139.39 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:53:49 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
4,709.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:49:02 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
5,523.59 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:55:02 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate17 tx
39,462.51 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:47:50 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,501.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:56:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,194.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:52:40 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
57.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:52:40 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00550023f65ca1dfc0c20f896f32545b49dad1723186470db260ab6cfd41be60
2,229.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:52:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007Cc9f8E4B5741DbCB2efc1540e83e948164487
Tx: 0x007d000d156496dc49b898f92208462fe2fcc6680363484c6b1ac35171bd680f
4,194.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:52:40 A.M.
From: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006c000f688ebaa5b8f2b01ca44e23f7a22ff265bb9ce419350213ed6adb8694
2,621.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:52:40 A.M.
From: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000a004ef016d6089e52faf3c5502e2ff483df2d1d42a770384494ec42374911
2,753.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:52:40 A.M.
From: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002300400af23a38c789e7637de272d57bb8624472cf30516c0287a8cab04a2f
1,074.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:52:40 A.M.
From: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b003b17686d68ad3c30af9d6974b998973340da7f7941d2cbe99cbfbf4985
1,369.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:52:40 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00690039ad24419d32ca5526f8e7615029ce8c21a8000d8d752ec0a0f031ca51