Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:50:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
97% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,719.98
Unexplained QUAI: 46.69
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
1,766.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1767 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,719.98 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Net receiver
Unknown type
638.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Net receiver
Unknown type
498.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075426F18AcEA0395E52E91daae40EdebE2B7b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
354.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Net receiver
Unknown type
227.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,766.67 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:50:13 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
4,709.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:49:02 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
2,731.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:51:25 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate17 tx
39,462.51 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:47:50 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
5,394.24 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:46:38 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
4,377.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:52:37 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
15,139.39 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:53:49 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
2,542.67 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:45:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
638.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:50:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
354.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:50:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0075426F18AcEA0395E52E91daae40EdebE2B7b8
Tx: 0x00210019fc520b9951741ee0e4af73969cac54595b40336910eb1ed0d1e6c791
498.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:50:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x00530004e0cbc89017686230845a36bf1e5edccb9b0899f0db08708fd2ac2d96
227.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:50:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Tx: 0x0066005e5f55905ae7d29ff372c604b969cb966eb66dce458b1de6f0e59fcc67
638.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:50:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x00490058964c32d2a8a90c02678d22a2af1ad3bed691b88fa7a9f615a61ecedd
