Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
82% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,087.38
Unexplained QUAI: 455.29
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
2,542.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007B0459441bec9fc4Bb72407c3687a2008e9288.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2543 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007B0459441bec9fc4Bb72407c3687a2008e9288.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,495.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007B0459441bec9fc4Bb72407c3687a2008e9288
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,341.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
354.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Net receiver
Unknown type
188.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006423A5E5f51916c158a0C2047fA2f091eDF35D
Net receiver
Unknown type
166.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,542.67 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:45:25 A.M.
-1 min
11 tx
11,592.42 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:44:14 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate40 tx
51,609.4 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:43:01 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
5,394.24 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:46:38 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
42,165.17 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:41:48 A.M.
+3 min
17 tx
39,462.51 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:47:50 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
11,777.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:40:37 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
4,709.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:49:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,341.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007B0459441bec9fc4Bb72407c3687a2008e9288
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
122.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006700129035fef9e748d6208dd9d1f3841fd0c8ad45be3fb96136c81534590e
115.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007c0069621283befedd48dca023fd502a3a58ad5ed24ed597b88cc87da89c2b
1,341.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007B0459441bec9fc4Bb72407c3687a2008e9288
Tx: 0x007300008c03c5a99ed042ff2d746c410d4d4ce5d0e63821823b4ca161bcc1c2
188.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x006800712868ef371571a151b149fedf92c8952065c3fa0898cec2ce4dc9ccac
153.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
Tx: 0x0018006d0f0270ce436270001cf6ce4ccebf899ac993d0c1ad4ac07d0435616e
166.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:45:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006423A5E5f51916c158a0C2047fA2f091eDF35D
Tx: 0x0062007fe435dacab254973cc6d91fcd4ab28506d5d624d2e67913e8b96279a3