Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,562.05
Unexplained QUAI: 9,485.58
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
4
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
17,047.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 17048 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,029.08 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,786.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,242.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
532.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0051f76a4F4c62452cd811A54153fE7df762425b
Net receiver
Unknown type
421.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
17,047.63 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate25 tx
44,680.34 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
11,710.45 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:39:25 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
22,836.41 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:35:48 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
20,073.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:34:35 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
11,777.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:40:37 A.M.
+4 min
14 tx
42,165.17 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:41:48 A.M.
-5 min
15 tx
25,472.69 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:33:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,786.98 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:38:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5,786.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x000100772fc4fbaa22acb7ca36fa0fe90924bdb8a77a33039d38c1a33ae6e318
111.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0052346958BfB3E04cc4F66e3981E2DD6F59569B
Tx: 0x0032007db44cf5595c93b9e48bbc61eacdcb9ec2099d19071cd33bd09bfd786c
1,242.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x0031007180f0a1c3dc6eaa97bf83c925077995162a89f6b1b56879ec060eac1b
421.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0051f76a4F4c62452cd811A54153fE7df762425b
Tx: 0x005c004999d6dfeb7b203926e1c78b5aa669680c27e844c4b4aad951830c9083
