Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:36:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,353.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.9x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
17,353.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 17353 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
10,949.1 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,159.16 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,060.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7806d75DC7901263A152b7da596a06E196bD
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,989.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,345.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
22,836.41 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:35:48 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
20,073.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:34:35 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate25 tx
44,680.34 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
17,047.63 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
25,472.69 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:33:23 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
11,710.45 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:39:25 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
10,408.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:32:11 A.M.
-5 min
27 tx
33,100.84 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:30:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,060.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
1,368.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005DD62d10A84d4C1130e497080b4aC35aB6cd17
Tx: 0x0011005f46a03b7dec50b0e34b60d2c1f57108194f51ad911afec28ae0197646
3,989.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004e7806d75DC7901263A152b7da596a06E196bD
Tx: 0x0040007d60a3e70fcf4ec3788a8293589ff3cbf950ab114a4f58eca62d3b09b5
4,060.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Tx: 0x001e00050b2d67865e58bb5462cfaac9d40bd3c4c01c670b54094eb72459c871
1,318.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005D2B9E98b6e50E205281bf5D94Eba63e6416a6
Tx: 0x00050018ab1bf136fc84bcd7c3a50674330804d7028ccfcdef97a5b772f3afb4
160.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x0048007a96c28c630244981e3131abea17a2cfd7e75e3de975f5ad3d20681eaf
659.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x006900185d2e4a057fefea6db56b4b8d9af9539db6a3a7ffa265f320591d75da
392.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004cB648F9D61a71b427d3BebCc7AA6Fcb1A276E
Tx: 0x00590003beb2f5653ac5ea5d0b5494f265a4f75494dec185b68af6f1a25a760e
600.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x003a0024189bac4c5cec85dc31af0ff9c4a76ef8590d73a28c8b48c2679072db
1,244.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:14 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
Tx: 0x004c0059daa5f37c5db048f8a14a52f9d1487b6a4e4d47a88b69305910851cab
2,345.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x00720007ba2654f7666417503da57d9d1399fb4be406010bc6f07213bd908868
1,212.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:36:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ac3a9d3b01e2C5b7745AAd6C4C3Af0d120718
Tx: 0x0043004bed89d1f688c4800879e1e67e19fc1c32290d86263ad25680b7c1a4ee
