Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:34:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
63% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,728.62
Unexplained QUAI: 7,345.12
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
10
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
20,073.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 20074 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (37% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
8,862.76 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,347.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,489.85 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,755.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net receiver
Unknown type
874.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
15 tx
25,472.69 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:33:23 A.M.
+1 min
15 tx
20,073.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:34:35 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
10,408.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:32:11 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
22,836.41 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:35:48 A.M.
-3 min
27 tx
33,100.84 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:30:58 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate25 tx
44,680.34 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
8,730.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:29:45 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
17,047.63 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,347.78 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
181.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
Tx: 0x007e007cc8a2fb1f1ff7a966084e4f72e9a400a01b2fa7247b3cce1776fddb55
504.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x006000620f4e7f7a312ffd2ec30d645729606479531c36e3772dd1ca442e5c72
136.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0050A42ED956Fd31A9913EfCa216f8dcA7c2Ec20
Tx: 0x0032006438f39c8de5dc450018512719f3ca6f270fdbf7b8f15abd65aa5a1d47
2,755.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Tx: 0x003500567ac455ef78634e40c08a192d08978f120f8af84aa78b64669c1c6c9e
76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:17 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x004f00076032959d2032abf65a688958abb182fd2cf3ae698a62c3c0e5bcf6aa
359.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Tx: 0x007b001d3b9c80bbbfc719d6a71a94b4b76d2a4adeb12f2569834039294d5c06
874.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x00260042d62780192338e19fdf4169e90acc9e4a4b718fbea9dd7aea825e626a
7,347.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
Tx: 0x001e00414eaa44320b0aeeac4e3ee5c41d31b7d6bf170ac809a82e827b062e32
193.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004863CfD13Cac71079219B5B81d10a5f0C4d83f
Tx: 0x004600299453842d36e20e2498998393ea7c3cfd0d117d5d9d23fea5e9a536ac
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:34:07 A.M.
From: 0x0074e6EBebb815316A50f54ABA92F40fEbE0d0Ba
To: 0x0062823AC484bE7c5D44C983052178a1dED68aaE
Tx: 0x0039000e59a3f2daada8fadd90c8fffa7542f9f5af16c9ae71f7e7ed66bdfc6e
