Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,990.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.7x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
5,990.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5990 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,116.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,735.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,380.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
873.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Net receiver
Unknown type
583.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate27 tx
33,100.84 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:30:58 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
8,730.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:29:45 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
10,408.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:32:11 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
9,361.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:28:34 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
25,472.69 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:33:23 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
17,442.61 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:27:22 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
20,073.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:34:35 A.M.
-5 min
7 tx
5,484.07 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:26:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,735.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:31:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2,735.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:31:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Tx: 0x007a00558cb2de1046c830a951e4ec49ed94cf180233d24eb50855a882019513
290.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:31:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
Tx: 0x00100052cc99b7ddd9cc157b7ca08d750b96f46b6dd11d15f191835c0d79adc6
583.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:31:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Tx: 0x0008006c4df4209a98eaa71016360484c4c662465cc164a95d1642d795c1ddb5
2,380.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:31:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Tx: 0x0070006fd560f9638fbec703537eac4e5607901ee9a734948c20d8f5387cbde9
