Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
25% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,422.71
Unexplained QUAI: 13,019.9
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
3.2x previous minute
1.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
17,442.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 17443 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,936.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,859.44 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,547.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,540.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Net receiver
Unknown type
396.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
17,442.61 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:27:22 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
5,484.07 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:26:09 A.M.
-2 min
28 tx
20,974.27 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:24:57 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
9,361.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:28:34 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate21 tx
33,354.63 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:23:43 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
8,730.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:29:45 A.M.
-4 min
23 tx
11,887.66 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:22:30 A.M.
+4 min
27 tx
33,100.84 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:30:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,547.13 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
74.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0056003238eaba2c91d20d86954286828465ccbc032f159438dee68eefc0056d
200.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x002600019b31578ddd57c3acca1998b7bef3ea4a211b032526981b5d1c9f148f
1,547.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Tx: 0x004700695d0332aba084cc6bf3458800fc7f45b540d357d816079f29507887fb
1,540.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x006a007a0bf740f5323c6e0d51a5fb2f47f9ec588804b3cee078565f929d69b4
99.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0064004c519c48e4f5f7d52e99649fdcb06de1240411baa1fe96edebb3442bf5
124.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x0034C40f37805Ac8b83396Eeb1a3930a5181c5c6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0076006c43341f6a147c55f96808e3cc18e1f79855a88cd1d7215a5076789f49
126.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007C3141e22eFb3D184EBdD4aA039d476fa1DE43
Tx: 0x00490033c44f1014e04ca008181bf71dd60bf8dae4a7d5fb381796a8875454bb
312.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x0018000d84ad0e79d5ed19e8d76b47e348d9db026980d7dbff8e6e0975cc45c7
396.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:27:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x003e0031d6373424e951580cf8a630694a5522ccdc75d7dab2dd65edc623a66f