Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
56% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,347.84
Unexplained QUAI: 6,480.29
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.9x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
14,828.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 14828 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (44% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (56%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,941.65 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,218.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,849.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,722.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,408.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
14,828.13 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:21:17 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
8,004.77 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate30 tx
34,239.98 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:18:52 A.M.
+2 min
23 tx
11,887.66 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:22:30 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
9,603.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:17:40 A.M.
+3 min
21 tx
33,354.63 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:23:43 A.M.
+4 min
28 tx
20,974.27 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:24:57 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
8,408.16 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:16:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,218.08 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:32 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
313.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x007aDD18Da4FE331a038646f4011a9A5C7B8b7E4
Tx: 0x00660054303c6494e5bcf5668aa6b1337c23fc884e773ff3a44796ee88b9d9db
134.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00600089BbB84520A3fB0849d69fC8dF563e5Bea
Tx: 0x000a003242ed8db7ca950f1da68848f61cdd5da8445e18b88c7e128f8040b30e
1,849.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
Tx: 0x0051001fb19ff309bd6168c61a93763053eb491ab790516da589e61a1d979075
549.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x0002000cd10581b41dda20020d2b71c51e50794318979bb356a70c9187994109
52.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x003b0073ad1074a4931496abb735ce5f4bd297aa0df12d688058d34ebbf3570d
873.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
Tx: 0x0019005dac59bb381aea192ae0cc7db85539076b4b23c5e2cbf7da03c06d30af
166.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00343233F1fE7A0C2E94240F812BcDC4fb063B05
Tx: 0x0067007b89e9f756cb05c381fe10d0334113c34a1b164f6194bfc8ec9ab00a20
161.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005aF2683fAc9733B9F767C7ADAd7f3E0864cE0B
Tx: 0x0072005c9ca0cb92d9109bfbf566e3a12c83133f2640632acdc00028f00cc848
1,408.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:32 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
Tx: 0x001c000ff4744c46f823c3d4dddf7cf81502f7d2ef4609e1f3e24cc155c7ee86
2,218.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Tx: 0x002e00378718810dc116e9c309d2c0bf04a982e6a9fcce4bc0d5fc2473087e71
443.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Tx: 0x00580041f95d634dcc0ba607516f4011159660d363dfd6d48b35116b57a5b7f8
121.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:32 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005aAa3524012ECb508A5E2fC57ba1AB82ceF715
Tx: 0x004b0054b55f307e5f5aa2e59350d15eeb70d56397e98655cccbd9e121efca25
53.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:21:32 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0065b9955E18F086d5bDF946fe2851C152Ee342D
Tx: 0x005300386f9a51fc1e31b6736799b6e599db1157f6b9371f1bebf4e398978a83
