Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,895.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
1,895.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1895 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
686.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643
Net receiver
Unknown type
686.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
597.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net receiver
Unknown type
597.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
532.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate30 tx
34,239.98 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:18:52 A.M.
-1 min
15 tx
9,603.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:17:40 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
8,004.77 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
14,828.13 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:21:17 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
8,408.16 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:16:28 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
6,100.45 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:15:16 A.M.
+4 min
23 tx
11,887.66 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:22:30 A.M.
-5 min
14 tx
28,858.06 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:14:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
686.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
78.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x0038004485aa134854249892b6dcae10e5fc79ff342f3ca38129d44db3aa2d54
597.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x003d0000198a8a4c6e403c2ba2d9117da4ebe7ee5525051b476c6ae1d830b761
686.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002d1Ecf94d71d37C61Ff7188EA9c5DF95f73643
Tx: 0x003f007e78c729f9066d623427077eaa071136126d8e4e8524a3eeabd583a9a9
532.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x001b003079c6054dc7d3dc0dec90b8352f20da9b6a4643eeda6afeb6836193dc