Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:14:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,343.75
Unexplained QUAI: 22,514.31
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
4.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
10
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
28,858.06 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 28858 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,952.03 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,945.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,538.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,264.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,200.25 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
28,858.06 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:14:04 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate31 tx
59,076.68 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:12:51 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
6,100.45 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:15:16 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
18,090.16 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:11:36 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
8,408.16 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:16:28 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
26,784.91 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:10:24 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
9,603.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:17:40 A.M.
-5 min
20 tx
4,269.16 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:09:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,538.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
558.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001c17295e38f0E046Ff644Aa08C63A4C5564e9c
Tx: 0x006e0033d0d0f410b138b1811e928dd0799ae8645fade4f5d47c9a0ffd86feef
1,538.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x002c005a615dfecbfd6e9a505a8b487ff5a7314b723dcd97cef6806dac81723a
418.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:33 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x001d0049fbf479e990aa003cf7b3519b5c7dca3fc6efdfbc2369fb7fbf444daa
805.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x0022006f0741b1dafa116dbe8a7e820048ee31f23dbc27f83972b1db95304bbf
122.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001bF75Ff70E9e14c0d8e59f260986DD82b56166
Tx: 0x0013006aeaa001e4d004bea74f623ab69ce10472cdae2866550902232f46b9c8
503.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:04 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00273ceF172f5449057ef36B1f4A4D211caF4Ea5
Tx: 0x003a007728abc43483f169c7f7962cabbd5b80f08cd5c678e602912138e4939b
246.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0055001e9b26f10cdefdfa4e8abdd21a1772eeae7e7a2d9e8659ef66464b703a
1,264.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Tx: 0x0075001ac7145296eb5c0f69e724e7da541dcb4eb56ad1dddf3601b8d5363cb2
277.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0026310f1963Bf08EaD7028ad5A4533AC987A38B
Tx: 0x004e007bb878ec6ea16d6bc2ef93135ae0c58d6af691cbeb7249f880ee1bb2b2
608.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Tx: 0x007800073df2a2f2d4c3eb9ebf3ffe781c2ed7c1976900c556e3eaa7f3b24296