Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:06:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 677.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
461.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 461 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
436.78 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Net receiver
Unknown type
351.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
130.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
130.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
110.3 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,130.69 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:05:36 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
461.31 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:06:48 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:04:24 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
326.25 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:08:00 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
807.41 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:03:13 A.M.
+3 min
20 tx
4,269.16 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:09:12 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,235.31 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:02:00 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate13 tx
26,784.91 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:10:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
351.09 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
85.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x0004000c345970f020937f6adc953c1c8fb582471d0132de4e61934c1f8b91e9
130.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0048007f36927a0483378aac98a3496bc0893f36201507dabc12b3ee5495ac8f
9.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00610e8E9Bbf5933193917ae6c6cA02104c8a670
Tx: 0x0033001beeb49a4cb17e8ea1904a36a8ed9bb5355db0d14c8578091eaae9e2c5
17.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
Tx: 0x007600509d18bed6009aaea6132bce0806f474d75a53e45d81d74bbb7174753b
17.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x005a0023dcb8229e8cedd498682a500c289b02caa6ffb0b376c734292b5aa1a1
16.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x00220055b19f04488b2b0cbd7ea44dbbfcccace4ee58f721a8ac9e546cde520d
5.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005378088406597b14F2eDB68Aa0D9B3a34d8bF8
Tx: 0x0065001178de765b189ac25c2209c0868a2132d0393fd6cd57a2917aa4653a9b
5.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x003500205966763b9935eb4d04acb60f5d1339c50ae5d651c56f498b558e3c8b
37.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:54 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0003004e0f02f4ef65fa6e40ecf509e6f28098a44ebc0f795bb36d49de3e7da8
351.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:36 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Tx: 0x0005001b05334c8f291163d7adca8b7f9f7f1d8e363fc3521f3b438bca0813cb