Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 1:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 1:36:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 1:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,051.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 286.23
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
26x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
6,051.38 QUAI
286.23 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 6051 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 1:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,988.25 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net sender
Unknown type
989.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
286.24 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
286.24 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,988.25 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:35:43 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
235.26 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:34:31 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
6,051.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:36:54 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:38:06 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
6,166.2 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:33:19 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:39:18 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
218.51 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:32:08 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
97.22 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:30:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.12 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:36:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
63.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:36:45 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x000a0024812b6fe7be0ae519e27fd6f137e22e5701c67af2c7d4b6e74a891c8f
989.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:36:45 A.M.
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0023df0ad277ee58ebe82f5b647dba5b2144605c3b9a49815732d87e1c71
4,999.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:36:45 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00240071e478a15a3dcc6b8b32a5429fb8cac19c2f12e7465317dd1ebc797cf5
286.23 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:36:00 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003f005d8444ebe18d22ad020ca89b3cc54f7559756c03e74492ac8d03b78adc