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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 1:16:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,681.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 527.58
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
1,681.96 QUAI
527.58 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006Bdd4a4Af97529838DE8958D55E61e867d17af • 0x001997FB4fFe678969D1B942b41B02eB3a1A5A60.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1682 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006Bdd4a4Af97529838DE8958D55E61e867d17af • 0x001997FB4fFe678969D1B942b41B02eB3a1A5A60.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 1:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006Bdd4a4Af97529838DE8958D55E61e867d17af
Net sender
Unknown type
1,100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001997FB4fFe678969D1B942b41B02eB3a1A5A60
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
527.59 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
527.59 QI across 2 visible rows
0x007f85536423966e97E7895192dA2af87C74fC56
Net sender
Unknown type
356.2 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 527.58 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

1,100 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:16:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006Bdd4a4Af97529838DE8958D55E61e867d17af
To: 0x001997FB4fFe678969D1B942b41B02eB3a1A5A60

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
263.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006c00700e9997216bbdf56191a885b948f79a643e3f445af2454308a96a1377
Open txWallet profile
263.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:16:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004b00405ca93c435b46ffc000605f8b082d51975c5d446a87ce7d408cde9e50
Open txWallet profile
356.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:16:09 A.M.
From: 0x007f85536423966e97E7895192dA2af87C74fC56
To: 0x00630C5D2a99D3F07d5f78527fA928fa504a1157
Tx: 0x005900191005a64b4bcab03ffa0db769d44aee3aedb706f7aff80feee50662cb
65.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:16:09 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x002900585e16394175f9c4f4717af9cea91f4c66010935eeb8449dddbcb37abf
89.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:16:09 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00310055fa7bc665982807a24aafba1a1c25ae8405f4a55452221462404ba84e
70.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:16:09 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007c0053d4129533f2a30197c2001172163511dfa9cae4c8b23994b580c39095
1,100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:16:09 A.M.
From: 0x006Bdd4a4Af97529838DE8958D55E61e867d17af
To: 0x001997FB4fFe678969D1B942b41B02eB3a1A5A60
Tx: 0x001b003db464cdba5f227948bb9d4bbf47e8fb6c8d45b6d5d16b8ec9961b6bf2