Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 1:13:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 1:14:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 113.29
Unexplained QUAI: 2,351.29
Explained QI: 577.79
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
22x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
3
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,464.59 QUAI
577.79 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2465 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
577.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
577.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
113.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
113.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 577.79 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
2,464.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:13:02 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:11:50 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
113.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:14:13 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:15:25 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
99.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:09:27 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
1,681.96 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:16:37 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999.05 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:08:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
291.07 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:13:26 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
291.07 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0008004b447d2b165f3b5732456c7a16093863abff57bbcf4ce0c50977243e4a
113.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:13:13 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0019000384d580947300c06e2c8c3d7d03c0aedcd3449bbda8215c96d5f11b21
286.72 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:13:04 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0019003a03a4281101135d716268cc7b0360e860537be96ab9c4bf8ae0f0c6b6