Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 1:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 1:11:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 1:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,283.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 282.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
282.11 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 1:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,283.33 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
1,009.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net sender
Unknown type
992.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
282.11 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
282.11 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,283.33 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:10:38 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:11:50 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
99.06 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:09:27 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
2,464.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:13:02 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999.05 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:08:14 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
113.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:14:13 A.M.
-4 min
34 tx
1,121.18 QUAI • 50 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:15:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,009.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:11:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
992.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:11:50 A.M.
From: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046005766414f36f1e5662b1fc4477621ed07936f9e2bc18113c4598d9f2f03
150.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:11:50 A.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004005d8d12022f8c1b8f94b15767bb28c2636c9201c33f7059c628c1a5c917
1,009.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:11:50 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0023004775dd29ca756e75457ebf1aefea329a9de9db909802fbb6d56b7c575b
131.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:11:50 A.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078001a1756c8168ced5456c54c3d1ce3c451153b30afd888e56c8a2a751e46
282.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:11:37 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003e003676d96822c9c4bb469d6566923ceeac59c44b9a27c82d58021c77dad8