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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 1:05:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 1:05:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 1:06:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

81% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 4,217.11

Unexplained QUAI: 1,001.77

Explained QI: 804.95

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume

Relative context

1.5x above local average

33x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

96.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

5,218.88 QUAI

804.95 QI

Avg confidence

63.9%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 5219 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 63 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/18/2026, 1:05:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 63 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

1,722.6 QUAI across 6 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

1,203.74 QUAI across 50 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

StratumX miner

Net sender

Miner wallet

1,010 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,010 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006Dbd5c4ef8332B90E0614c3CA8AfD61B74bbD3

Net sender

Unknown type

989.5 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

4 repeated flows • 804.95 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 1,722.6 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

63 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 65. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.