Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 12:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 12:38:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 12:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,078.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 515.51
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
515.51 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 12:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,799.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,799.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
519.51 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
519.51 QI across 4 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
125.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 515.51 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,799.14 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:38:19 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:37:07 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
5,034.11 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:35:55 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
2,078.1 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:39:30 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:34:44 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:40:42 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate10 tx
6,956.32 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:33:32 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:41:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,799.14 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
257.75 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:52 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0004007612287ac2fa4513737ac4385214611a90e1e0ad60445b51ac0ff5d717
257.75 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:52 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0007003fadc91bcb1a69cfb6fa97ea2a96127148c2eb9972d7988bf4738a3103
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:52 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001f002c91f9522fbb9b9bbba572024910b2ec9d402da4f5dda8e9fe210b6d2c
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:52 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0017004ddc657f43a1a14ef1c5a24e6ac753e2679cde51f2c0de66cabc5f3328
125.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00120023bbb7156055c364fc3566b6eade19475d6e209fc76deb5eab39f10330
123.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001200053206959b1a091ab1c7b0fa3a687d81f0b31b3834a11f7c67d1a2bf97
1,799.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a002b2396e01e8532141ca9902bfe1bdd8f41d7492271199a978395653528
30 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:38:19 A.M.
From: 0x001c178A632f8f2a9545f57c6440Be91907b861D
To: 0x0001d2955Df299E748fdaD2c145886168a689677
Tx: 0x00520010a1df4bce5a3a757778c8f2f407196f30781dfae549d2ed3489827436