Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 11:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 11:36:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 11:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,533.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 480.39
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
91x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
6,533.25 QUAI
480.39 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 6533 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 11:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,324.89 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
1,325.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
480.4 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
480.4 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 480.39 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,324.89 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
56.06 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:35:56 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
71.49 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:34:45 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
6,533.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:37:08 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate11 tx
12,741.66 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:33:33 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
185.11 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:38:20 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
169.66 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:32:21 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
147.77 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:39:32 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
232.57 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:31:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.23 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:36:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
153.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:36:36 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0012001391d3ce16088111a35acde2f82c435b0ba9680f7aaba63146becac0aa
240.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:36:29 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005d0013f068aa1b905194ac0042ee585c1febe4e2282b1b4950068511753d1e
240.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:36:29 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0056001fd0ad4f34fb0a4264055554d7b746a213ccc5d06e02c8fa6c7ddf361f
54.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:36:07 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x00470053ecfe68a9aaeba43148569c5b0e637c2315a791dc5fd0e6fff6dec6aa
4,999.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:36:07 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00780059dde18af4edf8b9237fb2b5b73684df5343dbb626b21f115d6cb63291
1,325.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:36:07 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0075778a875d77262be9311dacd34ca3ea5fcf7344ea4274451c1f5ce148