Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 11:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 11:22:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 11:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 182.89
Unexplained QUAI: 462.21
Explained QI: 764.09
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
9
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
645.11 QUAI
764.09 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 645 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 11:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
764.09 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
764.09 QI across 3 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
182.89 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
55.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 764.09 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:21:34 P.M.
+1 min
12 tx
645.11 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:22:46 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:20:22 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
168.66 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:24:00 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
114.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:19:10 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:25:12 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
70.04 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:17:58 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate4 tx
19,999.03 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:26:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
255.39 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:32 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
254.44 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0079004d4168172a8d56f976eb5254c2b804fac5acfac7f9a93d14911effe2c5
6.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:48 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001b0019beb537b8b48e64bd1afae7a9df3c5738bf88ea81ba2a0dd1c56fed49
53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:48 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00520071fabd6a35ccafb83c678c2387085cde15cdc5b3ed98acacf6ccecfbdb
255.39 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:32 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00490039327db2edf6abcc2168e3a52da5109f02e0d7c3eba861df2e63790120
38.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:08 P.M.
From: 0x0052F65C1Df925662cFCaC51Db91aD37dd8eea71
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a00251ddfb229930764e934c2f307f443bff86e9a69636681d2b1f1cf370b
23.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:08 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002800540cc6f68ee0f8cfef3789a8fc8ef2180db7d288899f08001417d61a76
55.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:08 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001700193d0caeb78166d7899c356cf829787b90445f5a262382054b821c96b7
5.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:08 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e002b2eef35b98571a7164cda72cd2f2ec1f7766cbd06a9079a7bfdfe231f
254.25 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:22:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006e002dc28964d9e4b63bbf46f9e38b0efa99f27b92b956e74bcc90d1cf2bd2