Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 11:05:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,531.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 781.1
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
6.1x above local average
31x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
20,531.17 QUAI
781.1 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20531 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
781.1 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
781.1 QI across 3 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
365.15 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 781.1 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 365.15 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
53 tx
952.41 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:04:49 P.M.
-1 min
53 tx
668.29 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:03:36 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
20,531.17 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:06:01 P.M.
+2 min
35 tx
1,377.77 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:07:14 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
3,310.3 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:02:24 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:08:25 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
214.09 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:01:12 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 11:00:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
260.33 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:57 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e000afabcc03f1bb5eb559d067936d581c83ab4a4ea3e9793efcf9044ac66
100.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:29 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x002cc6069Dfb43D163b5B717b54A38c813Be1f96
Tx: 0x0060007613a3732a2823e6a0b7155510cc5537291ac20027bc9531eafbaa7074
66.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:29 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00050031eb1a505381ebfa2db2b5136e8dcf4f88de3e698c0a2bebfd89ae6c9b
152.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:29 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e003119932d2820ad6c13f901d88a3d2d7db5fa0e986b363ddc2455cffcb5
108.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:29 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0029b66a2566acdd0f8a37a6e7084d1236ddaa574a5c96ccac7ed427c092
104.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:29 P.M.
From: 0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031004bbdcf778265a2c9bc46376b9a5be60406c217897d44f467188e5cf182
260.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:27 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00740034df10414e418c53b1db7cf107ccb3a526acc023a246b2e3028866cbf8
260.21 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:09 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0008001439cdb1098840a82e540b65274ae4315fa441a06148cfc553d21bad05
19,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 11:05:09 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00640069676ea0360cc4e8cf55f19c6e5263b2bce785e260e1b2d294432c0824