Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 10:53:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,442.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 523.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
158x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
13,442.47 QUAI
523.11 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 13442 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
12,798.1 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,455.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,676.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003937E6b84285138b395682Ef46f27B81BfF31B
Net sender
Unknown type
2,476.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
2,155.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 523.11 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 12,798.1 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
20,365.73 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:52:46 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
85.31 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:51:35 P.M.
+1 min
12 tx
13,442.47 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:54:02 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
52.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:55:14 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
111.62 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:50:23 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
50.33 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:56:25 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
50.02 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:49:12 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate9 tx
21,193.9 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:47:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,455.03 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
116.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0004003f1978396030aa9494c847c4a2f8abc0ec98ae27dd10e23def3cc16617
140.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00130075df6fc591fd0a2ab6f320ec3bb719ffd9f046c07048d5ad0e13b24104
115.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00490035264b652f131bca2f9e1203363560630ce6fa9caae02c40ed24297144
183.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000e0015607acbb1ecb25020ceff8a5ffc6ebbf9ed1824a40cab65b56aaf6054
2,155.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f00356b4700610e2726eeff57b8652c1899f638555481007f5c635588aac8
2,476.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x003937E6b84285138b395682Ef46f27B81BfF31B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b0078dd8b68634f0e938fd9ece623906224cca87265dd0e17a49551d1543a
3,455.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e00500cf19c6161892b6ad88e0e5426de411adb50b449f44de9eb688112d9
2,676.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001400510335032ca5ccfe5d8d271df2fa8b066b0d16c39cd2ca7823bc3db77e
2,035.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:57 P.M.
From: 0x0047a7419406ff9c0942F4327Cc65dC4e940F31e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e00371055e84c5820e48ef6a5f1b8a3a9fb6e1f3949926f8066a148a6d7b1
261.96 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:38 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007800460d22248fbb42f2076b1e1937782a6b97e26e60a785899bd18984dd29
261.15 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:15 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006400392ee6201ac0832988c99ecf00d66cbbfe52ab3abec25ece0672c63964
89.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:53:08 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x004cE1CbB33Cad511b79D52C6E1118CE4eB60db3
Tx: 0x0026002e1771d154f550ebf544b9da99bdcd765d8a9caa95cb0e5563707bd957
