Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 10:52:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 10:52:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,365.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 516.78
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
182x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
9
81.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
20,365.73 QUAI
516.78 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 20366 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 10:52:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
20,365.73 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,128.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,455.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,435.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,676.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 516.78 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
85.31 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:51:35 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
20,365.73 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:52:46 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
111.62 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:50:23 P.M.
+2 min
12 tx
13,442.47 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:54:02 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
50.02 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:49:12 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
52.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:55:14 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate9 tx
21,193.9 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:47:59 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
50.33 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:56:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,128.6 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
2,477.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:25 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x003937E6b84285138b395682Ef46f27B81BfF31B
Tx: 0x000e0050a4e9968bde7aa33793896195f39fd28e4dbf5b75dde249dedcf49b29
2,676.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:25 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Tx: 0x001000061db9544d2306611804fe1ba7bccac6fd61286f71a0da8c71265500d3
3,455.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:25 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Tx: 0x000e00020a599ef4c28c209f901ed5a6b555e3823fc63166eaa768fb6afe1edd
2,036.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:25 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0047a7419406ff9c0942F4327Cc65dC4e940F31e
Tx: 0x001d004e1d827af79377a8fd6c3855ce266938606f2c02a8a25720a0b0a64ac0
3,435.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:25 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833
Tx: 0x004000594383f198e0d1753fe3139b6f7eb9bf08cda3f75fc6da34eab97ce2d4
2,155.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:25 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Tx: 0x00150039bb103723b9ddd46abba5be1b4b76d343060f78111f124ff62454c5fe
259.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:17 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003a0038dbb139dd130ba34389fc6ce2e17148aea97fde4bd90cec0c28740d02
257.59 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:09 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000e0062abf6656cd4faef6041db01ec750efeb373ad6072dbfd9d8d944a2e5a
4,128.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:52:09 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
Tx: 0x006f001829e8faf875ac37ca6b2978aa29eaf3803dc7da8e0969cd48eb63dbad
