Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 10:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 10:03:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 10:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25.23
Unexplained QUAI: 542.19
Explained QI: 515.87
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
3
5.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
60
Asset volume
567.42 QUAI
515.87 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 567 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 10:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
515.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
515.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
25.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 515.87 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
381.38 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:02:30 P.M.
+1 min
52 tx
567.42 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:03:42 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:01:19 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:04:55 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
509.7 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:00:07 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate56 tx
1,753.46 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:06:08 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
502.42 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:58:55 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/17/2026, 10:07:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
257.93 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:03:39 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
257.93 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00210074bf6564f9808210b393a39c5f86e23b169ad2576ecbf582e72074cdbd
257.93 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:03:39 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000e00400be0fde4683a901ceb86b5ee17834e9725fd564aadf34e593ffc75e5
25.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 10:03:21 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x007c00689372d77cdbd5cc4cb790bb83fabf411473e948e89d7380f87519d722