Spike bucket
09/17/2026, 9:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/17/2026, 9:54:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:55:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,410.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 505.57
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
505.57 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
505.58 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
505.58 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
222.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 505.57 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.18 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:54:08 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
114.57 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:52:56 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,410.77 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:55:20 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
142.7 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:51:45 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
20,331.59 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:50:33 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:56:32 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:57:43 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
10 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/17/2026, 9:49:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.18 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:54:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
87.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:54:48 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00400036c3622d98c6952d236d052bfd094fc44bf1c0f47b3a2f74f855299a48
252.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:54:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0045005ed91383f97a223fff46c0e2ad44a09b93e3647f6e5144967ba02c996b
252.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:54:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0040000ad78e0783e9e70fc36953d192f31e0a8fe471a939ed7887b95afaa7fe
103.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:54:28 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003800753a0e229d06be06245a2ac5b58833ead340d96e158b9879f84cc087ce
222.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:54:08 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x007b002229d4dc310979053aa7a08004d1df5f43550d21d6e6482804984fd219
19,998.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:54:08 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014004584694baa054c0177810febd0a08907725b7424de33374f72cfb72e14