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Spike bucket

09/17/2026, 9:45:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/17/2026, 9:45:00 P.M. to 09/17/2026, 9:46:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
87% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,076
Unexplained QUAI: 748.65
Explained QI: 548.58
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
8
72.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
5,824.65 QUAI
548.58 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x0051A64DCf79f982166062b833Ff749103B07f60.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 5825 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a • 0x0051A64DCf79f982166062b833Ff749103B07f60.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/17/2026, 9:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
Net sender
Unknown type
5,076 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x0051A64DCf79f982166062b833Ff749103B07f60
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,974 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00362150A89569f0A76bfE7911e495fd90e07677
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,128 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006799491Fa98C2E15cb0b479f94286ECB871Fc2
Net receiver
Unknown type
846 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063F97F6b219711ea4818CCc4AF18bc8025e72B
Net receiver
Unknown type
564 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 548.58 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 11. The remaining 3 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,974 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0051A64DCf79f982166062b833Ff749103B07f60

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
276.28 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:56 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005300372b91b5c7cfcc761970af0fdae47434297e72f8646d5b73a758142a17
Open txWallet profile
272.3 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:21 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007f003ba4e7a437f512d2fd010261102e00cbc34221721d75c897ac3171c1e2
Open txWallet profile
1,974 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0051A64DCf79f982166062b833Ff749103B07f60
Tx: 0x00600011dccc7561d38c0621a64b119ec3f160e679ba905201d1f8e65984c76d
282 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0001A8b7BC07AD5b2cC439e2B2D5CDed4eF20eA6
Tx: 0x0033001941fd3f3c9fa7fc3cc4c63a07039ac404b769f1cfe9fe37a356f24a17
282 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x006FBb3f404C75C783cb659DA1BaA36DE8556485
Tx: 0x006700011394b762a7f87e3adb1aba1afdb1d644d20becb4f25afb315e8983e9
1,128 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x00362150A89569f0A76bfE7911e495fd90e07677
Tx: 0x0003005ff8f7cc34287f55d772fcea3be163d51f1de2616fd219d16a2767efa5
846 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x006799491Fa98C2E15cb0b479f94286ECB871Fc2
Tx: 0x0031002da20bed93e3759893482edec759503f8de3005a5f1e9276a62aec0c9e
564 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/17/2026, 9:45:04 P.M.
From: 0x004D31f88cc04958eeF52830EA2c685d4225cb9a
To: 0x0063F97F6b219711ea4818CCc4AF18bc8025e72B
Tx: 0x006b00589520c93e5a73bad808b6f361dc46ea5376ff4210408fd79e5e87c2f9